What are the chances of this happening?

Jul. 30, 2020

I was doing the masuda method for a shiny froakie, and I hatched a shiny on egg 25. It was HA and female, and the father passed down the ball (a dive ball). What are the chances of this occurring? (I have shiny charm)

Pleaselog inorregisterto add a comment.

I might be completely wrong (I haven’t done math for months lol) but I THINK the way to calculate it is:

1/512= chance of shiny with charm and Masuda Method.

6/10= chance of HA.

1/8= chance of being female.

1/2= chance of father passing down ball.

I might be wrong, but so think you multiply all these numbers together to get roughly 1/13,653, or about 0.007%, or seven out of 100,000, approximately. Like I said, I haven’t done actual math since schools closed but I think I’m right. Can I have some of your amazing luck, please? :)