In Emerald, what's the chance of a Skitty or Nuzleaf outbreak on any given day?

May. 3, 2016

Assuming the clock is running normally and I have not mixed records with any game.Important note: For those of you that haven’t played Emerald, many days there are no outbreaks. I already had two people mess up on their logic.

Pleaselog inorregisterto add a comment.

Every time the player wins a battle, there is a ~0.5% (0x147/0xffff) chance that the game will generate an outbreak. This does not apply to the player’s first battle, the Wally catching tutorial, link battles, e-Reader battles, the Safari Zone, or the Battle Tower/Frontier. After an outbreak is generated, the television program announcing it will appear the next day. Once the television program has been watched, the outbreak becomes active.

sourceThat probably explains why I could never get one.

There are seven slots. One can be skit. One can be nuz. Two can be blank. Three can be Seedot.

Therefore 1/7 for each with no record mix.