Can I get a guaranteed shiny after 4096 encounters?

Apr. 20, 2021

I was wondering if you were guaranteed a shiny after meeting 4096 of a certain species in the wild. There was a similar question but that was for soft resetting and (just to clarify) I’m asking if encountering 4096wildPokemon would give you a shiny. Also this is for Generation 8.

Pleaselog inorregisterto add a comment.

Absolutely not. The odds are completely random; the game does not promise you a shiny after a certain amount of encounters. You could do a billion of the same Pokémon and never find a shiny, just as you could find a shiny your first encounter.

Think of it this way, you have a dice that has ~4000 sides, and one is painted pink, the others are all white. If you can land on the pink one, that’s the shiny. It’s still very unlikely after 4000+ roles.

Source: I shiny hunt